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- By Tanner Walker
- 16 Jan 2026
Our planet is not winning the fight to combat the environmental catastrophe, yet it remains engaged in that conflict, the top UN climate official declared in the Brazilian city of Belém after a contentious UN climate conference reached a agreement.
Nations at Cop30 failed to bring the curtain down on the fossil fuel age, amid strong opposition from a group of states spearheaded by Saudi Arabia. Moreover, they fell short on a key aspiration, forged at a conference taking place in the Amazon, to chart an end to clearing of woodlands.
Nevertheless, during a fractious global era of nationalism, war, and suspicion, the discussions did not collapse as many had worried. Global diplomacy held – by a narrow margin.
“We knew this Cop was scheduled in choppy diplomatic seas,” remarked Simon Stiell, following a long and occasionally heated final plenary at the climate summit. “Refusal, division and international politics have delivered global collaboration significant setbacks this year.”
But Cop30 demonstrated that “environmental collaboration remains active”, the official continued, making an oblique reference to the US, which during the Trump administration opted to not send anyone to Belém. The former US leader, who has called the global warming a “hoax” and a “con job”, has personified the opposition to progress on dealing with harmful global heating.
“I cannot claim we’re winning the battle against climate change. However we are undeniably still in it, and we are fighting back,” Stiell stated.
“Here in Belém, nations opted for unity, scientific evidence and economic common sense. Recently there has been significant focus on one country withdrawing. But despite the gale-force political headwinds, 194 countries stood firm in solidarity – unshakable in support of climate cooperation.”
The climate chief highlighted a specific part of the summit's final text: “The global transition towards reduced carbon output and climate-resilient development cannot be undone and the trend of the future.” He emphasized: “This represents a diplomatic and economic signal that cannot be ignored.”
The conference began over two weeks back with the leaders’ summit. The organizers from Brazil vowed with initial positive outlook that it would finish as scheduled, but as the negotiations progressed, the uncertainty and clear disagreements between parties increased, and the proceedings seemed on the verge of failure on Friday. Late-night talks on Friday, however, and compromise on all sides resulted in a deal could be agreed on Saturday. The summit produced decisions on multiple topics, such as a commitment to triple adaptation funding to protect communities against environmental effects, an agreement for a fair shift framework, and acknowledgment of the entitlements of Indigenous people.
Nevertheless proposals to start planning roadmaps to transition away from oil, gas, and coal and halt forest destruction did not gain consensus, and were hived off to initiatives beyond the United Nations to be advanced by coalitions of interested countries. The impacts of the food system – such as livestock in cleared tracts in the Amazon – were largely ignored.
The overall package was largely seen as incremental at best, and far less than required to tackle the accelerating climate crisis. “Cop30 started with a bang of ambition but concluded with a sense of letdown,” said Jasper Inventor from the environmental organization. “This represented the moment to move from negotiations to implementation – and it was missed.”
The head of the United Nations, António Guterres, stated progress was made, but cautioned it was becoming more difficult to reach consensus. “Climate conferences are consensus-based – and in a time of geopolitical divides, consensus is increasingly difficult to achieve. It would be dishonest to claim that this conference has delivered all that is necessary. The gap between where we are and what science demands remains dangerously wide.”
The EU commissioner for the environment, Wopke Hoekstra, shared the sense of satisfaction. “It is not perfect, but it is a huge step in the right direction. Europe remained cohesive, advocating for high goals on environmental measures,” he stated, even though that unity was sorely tested.
Merely achieving a deal was positive, said an analyst from Chatham House. “A ‘Cop collapse’ would have been a major and harmful setback at the close of a period already marked by serious challenges for global environmental efforts and multilateralism more broadly. It is encouraging that a deal was reached in Belém, although numerous observers will – legitimately – be dissatisfied with the degree of aspiration.”
But there was also significant discontent that, while adaptation finance had been committed, the deadline had been delayed to 2035. an advocate from a development organization in West Africa, said: “Climate resilience cannot be built on reduced pledges; people on the frontline need predictable, responsible assistance and a definite plan to take action.”
Similarly, while Brazil styled Cop30 as the “Indigenous Cop” and the agreement acknowledged for the initial occasion Indigenous people’s land rights and knowledge as a essential climate solution, there were nonetheless concerns that involvement was restricted. “In spite of being referred to as an inclusive summit … it became clear that native groups remain left out from the discussions,” stated Emil Gualinga of the Kichwa Peoples of a region in Ecuador.
And there was frustration that the final text had avoided explicit mention to oil and gas. a climate expert from the an academic institution, noted: “Regardless of the organizers' best efforts, Cop30 will not even be able to persuade countries to agree to fossil fuel phase out. This shameful outcome is the result of short-sighted agendas and opportunistic maneuvering.”
After several years of these yearly international environmental conferences hosted by states with restrictive governments, there were outbreaks of vibrant demonstrations in the host city as civil society returned in force. A large protest with tens of thousands of demonstrators energized the midpoint of the conference and activists expressed their views in an typically dull, formal Belém conference centre.
“From Indigenous-led demonstrations on site to the over seventy thousand individuals who marched in the city, there was a tangible feeling of progress that I have not experienced for a long time,” remarked an activist leader from an advocacy group.
At least, noted watchers, a way forward exists. Prof Michael Grubb from University College London, commented: “The damp squib of an conclusion from the summit has highlighted that a emphasis on the negative is fraught with diplomatic hurdles. For the road to Cop31, the focus must be balanced by equal attention to the benefits – the {huge economic potential|